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How do temperature and water availability affect plant growth, measured as biomass and growth rate?

Plant growth will be highest under moderate temperature and moderate water conditions, while cooler or hotter temperatures and under- or over-watering will reduce biomass and growth rate. Temperature and water are expected to interact, with water stress having stronger effects at hotter temperatures.

Synthetic experimental data generated by a deterministic simulation with stochastic noise.

01

Design

Experimental design

Factors, levels, units
TEMPERATURE: [18, 24, 30] celsius WATER: [40, 70, 100] percent field capacity
Replicates
5
Estimated observations
45
Seed
240917
Simulation version
nova-sim-v1
Created
Sep 3, 2026, 5:26 PM
Updated
Sep 3, 2026, 5:32 PM
02

Current state

ANALYZED

ANALYZED
  1. DRAFT→
  2. AWAITING APPROVAL→
  3. APPROVED→
  4. RUNNING→
  5. COMPLETED→
  6. ANALYZED→
  7. REPLICATED
03

Action

Human approval / controls

Analyzed

Review results and analysis below. Replication can be recorded through domain services.

04

Results

Observations

Total observations: 45 · design estimate 45 · 9 factor combinations

Result from NOVA's synthetic experimental simulation.

Combination 0

WATER: 40 · TEMPERATURE: 18

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
018401198.436159119.843616-1283539582nova-sim-v1
118401539.744880153.974488-1814185306nova-sim-v1
218401223.909846122.390984-29063114nova-sim-v1
318401057.432763105.743276-848434382nova-sim-v1
418401207.034248120.703425375953562nova-sim-v1

Combination 1

WATER: 70 · TEMPERATURE: 18

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
018703258.979008325.897901-645842965nova-sim-v1
118702441.358587244.1358591876640611nova-sim-v1
218703202.578171320.257817541523027nova-sim-v1
318703564.853774356.485377-1519686237nova-sim-v1
418702897.977744289.797774879429227nova-sim-v1

Combination 2

WATER: 100 · TEMPERATURE: 18

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
0181004899.177340489.9177341736034480nova-sim-v1
1181006945.577688694.557769-538792072nova-sim-v1
2181007046.136441704.6136441179219644nova-sim-v1
3181005706.072199570.6072202104029204nova-sim-v1
4181004795.326471479.532647-1033660624nova-sim-v1

Combination 3

WATER: 40 · TEMPERATURE: 24

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
024401110.577285111.057728-1921236199nova-sim-v1
124401537.805951153.780595-1142933451nova-sim-v1
224401007.457638100.7457641884026737nova-sim-v1
32440898.42632489.8426321566998301nova-sim-v1
424401128.377966112.837797-395964007nova-sim-v1

Combination 4

WATER: 70 · TEMPERATURE: 24

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
024703892.220227389.2220221267246886nova-sim-v1
124702901.303984290.130398736601162nova-sim-v1
224703471.619324347.161932-1773243942nova-sim-v1
324703643.261991364.326199895746446nova-sim-v1
424703231.516484323.1516481985913438nova-sim-v1

Combination 5

WATER: 100 · TEMPERATURE: 24

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
0241005835.747528583.5747521904943503nova-sim-v1
1241007621.566713762.156671132459783nova-sim-v1
2241007296.735155729.673515-1202657801nova-sim-v1
3241007625.599214762.559921224494591nova-sim-v1
4241006817.035039681.703504-1537136289nova-sim-v1

Combination 6

WATER: 40 · TEMPERATURE: 30

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
03040868.14329086.814329-8146348nova-sim-v1
130401022.336806102.2336802011994396nova-sim-v1
230401056.705035105.670503-564961184nova-sim-v1
33040906.08479390.608479-446757264nova-sim-v1
430401361.061353136.106135844741156nova-sim-v1

Combination 7

WATER: 70 · TEMPERATURE: 30

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
030703521.797859352.179786629550269nova-sim-v1
130702463.902247246.3902251407853017nova-sim-v1
230703558.642651355.864265139845909nova-sim-v1
330702761.426527276.142652-983788167nova-sim-v1
430703449.157107344.9157101482437773nova-sim-v1

Combination 8

WATER: 100 · TEMPERATURE: 30

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
0301006082.404351608.240435-476933942nova-sim-v1
1301006735.732717673.573272-1007579666nova-sim-v1
2301006768.648070676.864807777542526nova-sim-v1
3301005890.254605589.025460-41828742nova-sim-v1
4301004506.632446450.663245-430652078nova-sim-v1
Inspect raw structured observations
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]
05

Analysis

Statistical analysis

Statistics derived from persisted synthetic observations—not real-world measurements.

Analysis version
1.0
Model specification
growth ~ temperature + water + temperature:water
Simulation version
nova-sim-v1
Seed
240917
Response
biomass
Sample / residual SE
n=45 · df=41 · RSE=699.91586732
EffectEstimateStd. errorConfidence intervaltpDirection
temperature-0.17591921.297762[-43.187621, 42.835783]95% CI-0.00830.993450negative
water86.0545684.259552[77.452228, 94.656909]95% CI20.20270.000000positive
temperature × water0.4454470.869477[-1.310499, 2.201392]95% CI0.51230.611179positive
06

Finding

Recorded finding

No finding

No finding has been persisted for this experiment. Findings are interpretive claims linked to analysis evidence—not automatic conclusions.

Record a finding linked to the persisted analysis.

07

Replication

Replication result

No replication

No replication record persisted for this experiment.

08

Provenance

Traceability

A finding is not an isolated text box. It is produced through a persisted evidence chain ending in synthetic observations.

Result from NOVA's synthetic experimental simulation.

Primary evidence chain

Analysis

Analysis ID
ecdecd0c-2676-4bcc-afee-105bc429fed0
Analysis version
1.0
Model
growth ~ temperature + water + temperature:water
Timestamp
Sep 3, 2026, 5:32 PM
Effects + confidence intervals
  • water: estimate 86.054568 · CI [77.452228, 94.656909] · p=0.000000
  • temperature: estimate -0.175919 · CI [-43.187621, 42.835783] · p=0.993450
  • temperature_water_interaction: estimate 0.445447 · CI [-1.310499, 2.201392] · p=0.611179

Experiment

Experiment ID
8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5
Question
How do temperature and water availability affect plant growth, measured as biomass and growth rate?
Factors
TEMPERATURE [18, 24, 30] · WATER [40, 70, 100]
Replicates
5
Seed
240917
Simulation version
nova-sim-v1
Created
Sep 3, 2026, 5:26 PM
Updated
Sep 3, 2026, 5:32 PM

Observations

45 persisted synthetic observations linked to this experiment.

Factor values, replicates, and measured outcomes are shown in the Observations section above.

No replication record persisted for this experiment.

09

History

Event history

Application audit history from persisted event records. This view does not imply WebMCP tool invocation.

  1. Experiment created

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:26:54 PM

    type experiment_created

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    seed
    240917
    simulationVersion
    nova-sim-v1
  2. Tool call started

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:26:54 PM

    type tool_call_started

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related tool create_experiment

    toolName
    create_experiment
  3. Approval requested

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:26:54 PM

    type approval_requested

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    fromStatus
    DRAFT
    toStatus
    AWAITING_APPROVAL
  4. Tool call completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:26:54 PM

    type tool_call_completed

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related tool create_experiment

    toolName
    create_experiment
  5. Approval granted

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:30:59 PM

    type approval_granted

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    fromStatus
    AWAITING_APPROVAL
    toStatus
    APPROVED
    approvalRationale
    Human approval granted via NOVA LAB UI.
  6. Experiment started

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:31:07 PM

    type experiment_started

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    fromStatus
    APPROVED
    toStatus
    RUNNING
    seed
    240917
    simulationVersion
    nova-sim-v1
  7. Tool call started

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:31:44 PM

    type tool_call_started

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related tool get_results

    toolName
    get_results
  8. Results retrieved

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:31:44 PM

    type results_retrieved

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    simulationVersion
    nova-sim-v1
    observationCount
    45
  9. Tool call completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:31:44 PM

    type tool_call_completed

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related tool get_results

    toolName
    get_results
  10. Tool call started

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:31:50 PM

    type tool_call_started

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related tool analyze_results

    toolName
    analyze_results
  11. Tool call completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:31:50 PM

    type tool_call_completed

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related tool analyze_results

    toolName
    analyze_results
  12. Tool call started

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:32:05 PM

    type tool_call_started

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related tool analyze_results

    toolName
    analyze_results
  13. Tool call completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:32:05 PM

    type tool_call_completed

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related tool analyze_results

    toolName
    analyze_results
  14. Experiment completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:32:19 PM

    type experiment_completed

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    fromStatus
    RUNNING
    toStatus
    COMPLETED
    observationCount
    45
  15. Tool call started

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:32:36 PM

    type tool_call_started

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related tool analyze_results

    toolName
    analyze_results
  16. Analysis completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:32:36 PM

    type analysis_completed

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related analysis ecdecd0c-2676-4bcc-afee-105bc429fed0

    fromStatus
    COMPLETED
    toStatus
    ANALYZED
    seed
    240917
    simulationVersion
    nova-sim-v1
    analysisVersion
    1.0
  17. Tool call completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 5:32:36 PM

    type tool_call_completed

    experiment 8cbfbd10-f977-4db0-806b-fa8fc21796e5

    related tool analyze_results

    toolName
    analyze_results