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Does temperature affect plant growth?

Moderate temperature will produce greater plant growth than low or high temperature.

Synthetic experimental data generated by a deterministic simulation with stochastic noise.

01

Design

Experimental design

Factors, levels, units
TEMPERATURE: [18, 24, 30] celsius WATER: [40, 70] percent
Replicates
2
Estimated observations
12
Seed
48192
Simulation version
nova-sim-v1
Created
Sep 3, 2026, 8:26 AM
Updated
Sep 3, 2026, 4:32 PM
02

Current state

REPLICATED

REPLICATED
  1. DRAFT→
  2. AWAITING APPROVAL→
  3. APPROVED→
  4. RUNNING→
  5. COMPLETED→
  6. ANALYZED→
  7. REPLICATED
03

Action

Human approval / controls

Replicated

Replication recorded. See replication and provenance below.

04

Results

Observations

Total observations: 12 · design estimate 12 · 6 factor combinations

Result from NOVA's synthetic experimental simulation.

Combination 0

WATER: 40 · TEMPERATURE: 18

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
0184045.1815514.107414-861095394nova-sim-v1
1184070.2533536.386669361538994nova-sim-v1

Combination 1

WATER: 70 · TEMPERATURE: 18

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
01870176.14695616.013359-223398777nova-sim-v1
11870160.22586114.565987-242602385nova-sim-v1

Combination 2

WATER: 40 · TEMPERATURE: 24

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
02440608.34179755.303800-2136488628nova-sim-v1
12440572.49438752.0449441636932228nova-sim-v1

Combination 3

WATER: 70 · TEMPERATURE: 24

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
024701458.193498132.563045-1498792011nova-sim-v1
124701497.130641136.1027861032790849nova-sim-v1

Combination 4

WATER: 40 · TEMPERATURE: 30

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
03040732.78298366.616635883085434nova-sim-v1
130401270.668709115.5153382105719822nova-sim-v1

Combination 5

WATER: 70 · TEMPERATURE: 30

ReplicateTEMPERATUREWATERBiomassGrowth rateObs. seedSim version
030701929.592450175.4174951520782051nova-sim-v1
130702682.359465243.8508601501578443nova-sim-v1
Inspect raw structured observations
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  {
    "id": "86ebbed9-f80b-4efd-91d7-fe80bfe5f076",
    "experimentId": "0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a",
    "replicateIndex": 0,
    "combinationIndex": 0,
    "factorValues": {
      "WATER": 40,
      "TEMPERATURE": 18
    },
    "biomass": 45.181551,
    "growthRate": 4.107414,
    "observationSeed": -861095394,
    "simulationVersion": "nova-sim-v1",
    "dataLabel": "synthetic",
    "createdAt": "2026-09-03T08:28:42.311Z"
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    "combinationIndex": 1,
    "factorValues": {
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    },
    "biomass": 176.146956,
    "growthRate": 16.013359,
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    "factorValues": {
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    "biomass": 608.341797,
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    "biomass": 1458.193498,
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    "factorValues": {
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    "biomass": 1929.59245,
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    "biomass": 160.225861,
    "growthRate": 14.565987,
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    "biomass": 572.494387,
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    "createdAt": "2026-09-03T08:28:42.311Z"
  },
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    "factorValues": {
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    "biomass": 1497.130641,
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]
05

Analysis

Statistical analysis

Statistics derived from persisted synthetic observations—not real-world measurements.

Analysis version
1.0
Model specification
growth ~ temperature + water + temperature:water
Simulation version
nova-sim-v1
Seed
48192
Response
biomass
Sample / residual SE
n=12 · df=8 · RSE=252.96134058
EffectEstimateStd. errorConfidence intervaltpDirection
temperature128.40824814.905890[-1362.180747, 1618.997242]95% CI8.61460.000014positive
water25.5773674.868243[-461.246960, 512.401694]95% CI5.25390.000045positive
temperature × water3.3160590.993726[-96.056541, 102.688658]95% CI3.33700.000000positive
06

Finding

Recorded finding

No finding

No finding has been persisted for this experiment. Findings are interpretive claims linked to analysis evidence—not automatic conclusions.

Record a finding linked to the persisted analysis.

07

Replication

Replication result

Seeds
48192 → 2049829153
Success
true
Criteria
same direction: true
CI overlap: true
relative diff: 0.08741356
08

Provenance

Traceability

A finding is not an isolated text box. It is produced through a persisted evidence chain ending in synthetic observations.

Result from NOVA's synthetic experimental simulation.

Primary evidence chain

Analysis

Analysis ID
2613957d-3602-434b-af99-db3638e094e8
Analysis version
1.0
Model
growth ~ temperature + water + temperature:water
Timestamp
Sep 3, 2026, 8:30 AM
Effects + confidence intervals
  • water: estimate 25.577367 · CI [-461.246960, 512.401694] · p=0.000045
  • temperature: estimate 128.408248 · CI [-1362.180747, 1618.997242] · p=0.000014
  • temperature_water_interaction: estimate 3.316059 · CI [-96.056541, 102.688658] · p=0.000000

Experiment

Experiment ID
0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a
Question
Does temperature affect plant growth?
Factors
TEMPERATURE [18, 24, 30] · WATER [40, 70]
Replicates
2
Seed
48192
Simulation version
nova-sim-v1
Created
Sep 3, 2026, 8:26 AM
Updated
Sep 3, 2026, 4:32 PM

Observations

12 persisted synthetic observations linked to this experiment.

Factor values, replicates, and measured outcomes are shown in the Observations section above.

Replication evidence chains

Replication

Replication experiment ID
c5553555-5334-4f74-ae07-b3df548b7a04
Original seed
48192
Replication seed
2049829153
Same direction
true
CI overlap
true
Relative effect difference
0.08741356
Replication success
true
Original effect
  • water: estimate 25.577367 · CI [14.351178, 36.803556] · p=0.000770
  • temperature: estimate 128.408248 · CI [94.035204, 162.781291] · p=0.000026
  • temperature_water_interaction: estimate 3.316059 · CI [1.024523, 5.607595] · p=0.010277
Replication effect
  • water: estimate 23.341559 · CI [14.142813, 32.540304] · p=0.000382
  • temperature: estimate 123.924976 · CI [95.759684, 152.090267] · p=0.000008
  • temperature_water_interaction: estimate 3.396171 · CI [1.518484, 5.273857] · p=0.003118
Original confidence intervals
{
  "water": {
    "level": 0.95,
    "lower": 14.35117806,
    "upper": 36.80355628
  },
  "temperature": {
    "level": 0.95,
    "lower": 94.03520378,
    "upper": 162.78129147
  },
  "temperature_water_interaction": {
    "level": 0.95,
    "lower": 1.02452251,
    "upper": 5.60759502
  }
}
Replication confidence intervals
{
  "water": {
    "level": 0.95,
    "lower": 14.14281276,
    "upper": 32.54030429
  },
  "temperature": {
    "level": 0.95,
    "lower": 95.75968388,
    "upper": 152.09026737
  },
  "temperature_water_interaction": {
    "level": 0.95,
    "lower": 1.51848446,
    "upper": 5.27385669
  }
}

Finding → Replication → Original experiment → Observations

Replication

0369c691-88eb-484c-bb4d-f5d171264cc4

success=true · seeds 48192 → 2049829153

Original experiment

0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

Does temperature affect plant growth?

seed 48192 · nova-sim-v1

Original observations

12 observations

Replication → Replication experiment → Observations

Replication

0369c691-88eb-484c-bb4d-f5d171264cc4

Replication experiment

c5553555-5334-4f74-ae07-b3df548b7a04

Does temperature affect plant growth?

seed 2049829153 · nova-sim-v1

Replication observations

12 observations

Experiment lineage

Root experiment (no parent).

Child: Does temperature affect plant growth?

09

History

Event history

Application audit history from persisted event records. This view does not imply WebMCP tool invocation.

  1. Experiment created

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:26:34 AM

    type experiment_created

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    seed
    48192
    simulationVersion
    nova-sim-v1
  2. Tool call started

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:26:34 AM

    type tool_call_started

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related tool create_experiment

    toolName
    create_experiment
  3. Approval requested

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:26:34 AM

    type approval_requested

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    fromStatus
    DRAFT
    toStatus
    AWAITING_APPROVAL
  4. Tool call completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:26:34 AM

    type tool_call_completed

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related tool create_experiment

    toolName
    create_experiment
  5. Approval granted

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:28:05 AM

    type approval_granted

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    fromStatus
    AWAITING_APPROVAL
    toStatus
    APPROVED
    approvalRationale
    Human approval granted via NOVA LAB UI.
  6. Tool call started

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:28:42 AM

    type tool_call_started

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related tool run_experiment

    toolName
    run_experiment
  7. Experiment started

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:28:42 AM

    type experiment_started

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    fromStatus
    APPROVED
    toStatus
    RUNNING
    seed
    48192
    simulationVersion
    nova-sim-v1
  8. Experiment completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:28:42 AM

    type experiment_completed

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    fromStatus
    RUNNING
    toStatus
    COMPLETED
    observationCount
    12
  9. Tool call completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:28:42 AM

    type tool_call_completed

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related tool run_experiment

    toolName
    run_experiment
  10. Tool call started

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:29:27 AM

    type tool_call_started

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related tool get_results

    toolName
    get_results
  11. Results retrieved

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:29:28 AM

    type results_retrieved

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    simulationVersion
    nova-sim-v1
    observationCount
    12
  12. Tool call completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:29:28 AM

    type tool_call_completed

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related tool get_results

    toolName
    get_results
  13. Tool call started

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:29:59 AM

    type tool_call_started

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related tool analyze_results

    toolName
    analyze_results
  14. Analysis completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:30:00 AM

    type analysis_completed

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related analysis 2613957d-3602-434b-af99-db3638e094e8

    fromStatus
    COMPLETED
    toStatus
    ANALYZED
    seed
    48192
    simulationVersion
    nova-sim-v1
    analysisVersion
    1.0
  15. Tool call completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 8:30:00 AM

    type tool_call_completed

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related tool analyze_results

    toolName
    analyze_results
  16. Tool call started

    Sep 3, 2026, 4:32:01 PM

    type tool_call_started

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related tool replicate_experiment

    toolName
    replicate_experiment
  17. Replication completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 4:32:01 PM

    type replication_completed

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related replication 0369c691-88eb-484c-bb4d-f5d171264cc4

    simulationVersion
    nova-sim-v1
    analysisVersion
    1.0
    replicationSuccess
    true
    sameDirection
    true
    confidenceIntervalOverlap
    true
    relativeEffectDifference
    0.08741356
  18. Tool call completed

    Sep 3, 2026, 4:32:01 PM

    type tool_call_completed

    experiment 0adbd5b3-ccfe-439e-9d45-080bbeaa685a

    related tool replicate_experiment

    toolName
    replicate_experiment